Ayr 2.00 – Borderforce
There could be a fair bit more to come from this ex-French gelding now trained by Karl Burke, starting here. A quite exuberant racer, he was always likely to be better suited by the stronger gallop of British racing and got it together nicely at Ripon last time. Even deeper ground will be no problem at all, while it could be to the detriment of one or two of his rivals.
Ayr 2.40 – Holmeswood
Never really got going in the Portland last week, but the leaders never came back and this extra distance/softer ground/stiffer track should suit ideally. He has been performing pretty consistently in some big sprints and can run another bold race. Shared Equity has run a couple of belters here, likes soft ground and can also go well at a price.
Ayr 3.15 – Glass Slippers
Kevin Ryan runs two closely matched fillies here, but my reading is that Glass Slippers will be better suited by the soft ground judged on her significantly improved effort at Chester last time, when she won a good bit more easily than the official margin. She is well worth a try at this level – she’ll need to improve again, but has plenty of potential.
Ayr 3.50 – Aces
I always like a strong stayer at the trip for the Ayr Gold Cup, and Aces fits the bill, having won over 7 furlongs on the July Course earlier in the year. Given that the ground was too quick for him that day and that he’s only a pound higher this afternoon, it’s not hard to think he’s still quite well handicapped. He was positively ridden when bolting up at Epsom in June, and similar tactics may be the order of the day under Richard Kingscote.
Newbury 2.20 – Desert Encounter
I doubt too many people talk about him on a daily basis, but Desert Encounter is a superb racehorse who is admirably consistent at a high level on a variety of surfaces. He pulled out a really smart effort last time at Windsor, won this race last year, won’t mind soft ground and gets 3lbs from Mirage Dancer, which is just enough to tip the balance in his favour.
Newbury 2.55 – True Mason
This looks a very thin running of this Group 2, and True Mason night only need to run to the form of his two recent starts in France to be very competitive. His trainer believes there’s significant potential for improvement and has lines into most of the smart juvenile form this season. While he disappointed on heavy ground on debut, a bit of cut seems to suit best, as befits his pedigree.
Newbury 3.30 – Under The Covers
It’s a bit of a stretch to imagine her winning this Group 3, but Under The Covers should have the race run to suit ideally with the mighty duo Take Cover and El Astronaute in attendance. A very fast pace on softish ground at a track where she has won before is ideal. It’s questionable whether Equilateral and Sioux Nation can be relied upon on this surface and the race looks ripe for a turn up.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.