Newbury 1.50 – Good Fortune
It’s taken a while for the penny to drop, but Good Fortune looked pretty smart when thumping a solid 80-rated performer by double digits at Lingfield and might just improve again to win this. He’s bred to be good as a half-brother to the very useful Beautiful Romance and, whilst not looking entirely straightforward, should now be streetwise enough to play a big part here before moving into something better.
Newbury 2.25 – Algometer
The David Simcock trained Algometer is a fair price considering he’s 2-2 at Newbury and is the highest rated horse in the race. In addition, he comes here off a really good effort at Longchamp behind Marmelo, himself a real top-notch stayer on his day. This trip should be ideal, and he’s a horse who doesn’t want extremes of ground, so he hasn’t had too many good opportunities this year.
Newbury 3.00 – La Rav
I’m taking a bit of a chance here, as La Rav has been off a while and might need this run. That said, he’s been reintroduced at a pretty realistic level and is nowhere near being fully exposed. Indeed, before his blip at the end of last season, he looked highly promising under these conditions and does not look at all badly handicapped in a race where only 2 or 3 are open to obvious improvement.
Newbury 3.35 – Gustav Klimt
There will be plenty willing to lay Gustav Klimt on the basis that he’s not quite lived up to star billing and the yard’s horses are not striking with their normal regularity. That said, this horse has barely run a bad race in a string of Group Ones, and is fundamentally quite a fast horse who should find a drop to seven furlongs to his liking. He’ll appreciate these calmer waters and a nice chunk of weight for age.
Newmarket 2.45 – Spoof
Although the outsider of the whole field overnight, Spoof is well worth a step up in trip on pedigree and well worth a small investment at big odds. He blew out badly in a Listed race at Sandown last time, but he was really quite impressive previously at Chester, and the stable’s horses are going miles better now.
Ripon 2.05 – Gin in the Inn
He’s been a bit listless of late, but I’m pretty sure Gin in the Inn has not been enjoying the very fast ground and that a good surface will suit him better. He’s had a gentle slide down the weights as a result and – importantly – he’s shown winning form off this mark at Ripon, a track whose mini undulations are the undoing of many.
Ripon 3.15 – Shanghai Glory
This horse was a bit unlucky not to win this last year when leading home all of those on the ‘wrong’ side. He’s a bit lower in the handicap this year and showed significant signs of a revival last time. Big chance of making amends.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.