The Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes is my favourite 5f sprint of the year. It is not generally a distance I do well at in terms of punting, but I always have a go at this race and below, you’ll find horse by horse observations, a final shortlist from the 16 runners, and two big price each-way hopefuls for the feature race on Day 3 of the 2018 Ebor Festival.
Yet to win this season but consistent as they come on the clock and does act well around here. A big price now stepped up to Group 1 company, but he is a fast customer and could go really well from the front.
The stand out horse in the field and odds on to fend off his 15 rivals. No easy task in any sprint, but he is all class and arrives here on the back of a breathtaking performance in the Qatar Stakes at Glorious Goodwood. If he repeats that effort, they won’t see which way he went. Can chuck in the odd stinker though and was held in 4th here last year.
Top sprinter. Below par in the July Cup, but he did gun down Battaash at Royal Ascot before that. More than capable of winning this, but is he too unreliable to trust at around the 5/1 mark, in such a deep race?
One of the fastest 5f handicappers in the world, but he doesn’t quite have the class at this level….surely he can’t, can he?
Winner of his latest two starts, including a Group 3 win at Sandown last time out, where he finished ahead of Muthmir. Solid Group class contender and could sneak into the top 5 or 6, but he’ll need a clear career-best to do any better.
This horse absolutely loves York and will carry plenty of each way cash on that alone. A very admirable, versatile performer, but I just think he’ll be taken off his feet here.
Another classy, solid sprinter who is capable of picking up Group prizes at any given time, but perhaps not a top Group 1 race like the Nunthorpe. Really consistent and won’t be far away, hard to see him winning though.
A grand servant and a very fast horse on his day, a point he proved when finished 2nd to the brilliant Battaash last time out. He’s rising 12, so anything he does is a bonus for connections, but he can’t win this.
A perpetual Dark Horse who often leaves the impression there’s a big day in him, but he just finds it very hard to win horse races….which is a problem, obviously. Was only beaten a head by Battaash when they met at Haydock in May, so backers can take some confidence from that, but he’s up against it. A decent run wouldn’t be a huge surprise.
An official rating of 97 and arriving in such poor form, means this horse has no chance whatsoever of getting close to most of these.
Battle Of Jericho
Steady sort, with the ability to win Listed/Group 3 prizes, but he’s an outsider here with seemingly good reason, despite Frankie Dettori proving an interesting jockey booking.
Declaration Of Peace
Hasn’t really trained on since winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf and has no chance without turning a corner in spectacular fashion. Unlikely.
Enjoyed a busy but successful and classy juvenile season and seems to have trained on quite well. It’s difficult to get a grip on just how good he is, but we’ll definitely find out if there is genuine Group 1 potential today. He could run well at a big price.
Connections reach for blinkers with this talented but quirky and inconsistent horse. It could spark a revival and he is undeniably good when on song, but it’s becoming increasingly difficult to predict when or if he will be and with that in mind, Aidan O’Brien’s charge is a risky betting proposition. If he did pop up to hit the frame though, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise.
Another in a string of admirably consistent sprinters tackling this very interesting race. He beat Judicial four starts back, but has been held by Havana Grey, Battaash and Blue Point since. Will probably need a career-best to hit the first three or four home, but he’s only a 4yo and could have it in him.
A really good looking filly with plenty of talent, but she doesn’t appear to have trained on as expected and this race will surely prove much too hot for her.
Alpha Delphi, Battaash, Washington DC, Havana Grey, Sioux Nation, Muthmir, Mab’s Cross
VALUE BETS VERDICT:
Muthmir – 1pt each way (25/1)
Alpha Delphini – 1pt each way (50/1)
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Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.