Big week for PGA Tour with just 30 playoff places up for grabs
It’s the penultimate week of the PGA Tour season this week as the top ranked 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings head to Illinois for the BMW Championship.
Only the top 30 players will qualify for the lucrative Tour Championship and so there’s lots to play for at the Conway Farms Golf Club. Keep reading for our preview of the 2015 BMW Championship.
Big names at risk of play-off elimination this week
With plenty of FedEx Cup points up for grabs any of the remaining contenders can still make the final 30 for next week’s Tour Championship. Any player sitting outside the current top 30 ideally needs a top 7 finish to book their place at the end-of-season event and so it is a big week for the likes of Webb Simpson, Phil Mickelson, Ian Poulter and last year’s champion Billy Horschel.
Despite Jim Furyk’s round of 59 here in 2013 it’s not the easiest course on Tour and just five golfers shot four sub-par rounds two years ago. The field averaged a shade under par over the four days (70.81 versus par of 71) and the course has been lengthened since it last hosted the event.
Remember also that all golfers will get four rounds this weekend as there is no cut.
Your golf betting favourites
Jason Day continues to lead the way in the FedEx Cup standings after a superb run of form. Despite admitting to tiredness he still finished T12 at the Deutsche Bank Championship ten days ago and that followed three wins in his previous four starts.
Day finished T4 at this event when it was hosted by Conway Farms two years ago and knowledge of the course could be a useful asset this week. The Australian is the 6/1 favourite.
After such an impressive year we can perhaps excuse Jordan Spieth a couple of poor events. The 22 year old has missed two consecutive cuts for the first time in his career although remains second in the FedEx Cup standings.
Spieth tied for 16th place at Conway Farms in 2013 and is 12/1 to win this week.
A better bet may be the in-form Henrik Stenson who has done everything but win a tournament in recent weeks. The Swede has finished runner-up in both play-off events so far, shooting 13 under par to finish second at the Barclays and 14 under par to end up second at the Deutsche Bank Championship.
The 39 year old hasn’t missed a cut on the PGA Tour this season and has recorded seven top 6 finishes without winning a tournament. That could all change this weekend and Stenson can go top of the rankings with a win at 10/1.
Rory McIlroy has been a little rusty since his return from injury although there were signs in the closing 66 he shot at the Deutsche Bank Championship that he was not far from his best form.
The 26 year old shot opening rounds of 78 and 77 in his last visit to Conway Farms to eventually finish 23 shots behind the winner and so there’s not a huge amount of value in the 9/1 available.
Some outsiders to consider
It’s been a great second half of the season for Zach Johnson and the Open champion has recorded top 6 finishes in four of his last seven tournament appearances. The 39 year old has already all but booked his place at the end-of-season Tour Championship and he can move into FedEx Cup contention with a good result this weekend.
Johnson won this tournament at Conway Farms two years ago, ranking first in scrambling and second in strokes gained: putting on his way to victory. Fourth at the Barclays a fortnight ago, Johnson’s knowledge of the course and recent form could be a potent mix at 25/1.
The top 30 players in the rankings qualify for the Tour Championship and so there are a few players just below the cut-off that could gatecrash the showpiece event with a good performance this week.
Matt Jones is 33rd in the rankings and ideally needs a top 7 finish to book his place. The Australian did his chances the power of good with an excellent T4 at the Deutsche Bank Championship; a result that would have been even better were it not for a closing round 74.
The 35 year old finished T8 at Conway Farms in 2013 which meant he missed the Tour Championship by just two places. If he can go a couple of shots better this week he should qualify for next week’s season-ending event and he offers good each-way value at 65/1.
Despite never winning a PGA Tour event Kevin Kisner sits 15th in the FedEx Cup standings after a very good year. The 31 year old has recorded three second place finishes on the Tour this season and has looked really solid in the play-offs so far.
Kisner followed up a T20 at the Barclays with a T12 at the Deutsche Bank and he could be good value to break his Tour win duck at 49/1.
Check out all our pre-tournament odds on the 2015 BMW Championship over at our main site at https://www.betbright.com/golf/outrights/men/bmw-championship-2015-winner
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.