Bleacher Report UK football anaylst, Sam Tighe, is back with his well-studied top tips for this weekend’s Premier League action.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle United: Away Team Goals 0 (5/6)
Finding value in Arsenal vs. Newcastle (other than an upset) is incredibly tough; the handicap odds are poor, and even Olivier Giroud is odds-on to score anytime.
But with so many “trap” games taking place this week, digging deeper into this fixture seems like the right thing to do. Newcastle to fail to score stands at 5/6 and those odds are just wonderful given the context.
The Gunners have conceded just six goals at home this season and resumed normality with a comfortable win over AFC Bournemouth to finish 2015 top of the league. They should see off Steve McClaren’s men fairly easily.
Leicester City vs. AFC Bournemouth: Leicester Win (19/20)
Leicester City have failed to score in their last two fixtures, but have admittedly dialled the approach back given they were playing opposition of the calibre of Liverpool and Manchester City.
The switch to 4-3-3 was a struggle on Tuesday as multiple players’ roles change, and offensively they just looked a bit…meh. Their only serious chance was a Fernandinho brainfart leading to a Jamie Vardy shot.
But possession-hungry AFC Bournemouth play right into their hands: They’re not so strong as to demand Gokhan Inler insurance, and they will push up, leaving space for the Foxes to counter-attack in a 4-4-2 shape.
Sunderland vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams To Score Yes (19/20)
Calling the match outcome of Sunderland vs. Aston Villa is a bit like predicting the winner of a staring contest between two people you’ve never met. They’re unpredictable; capable of anything, yet also nothing, at the same time.
One thing guaranteed to creep into this game is nerves. Villa are suffering under the pressure of being rock-bottom and know a win is vital, while the Black Cats—a team on a five-game losing streak—don’t trust themselves to do anything right now.
Every action carried out by either side is hesitant, and that brings mistakes.
Both teams to score (19/20), Under 2.5 (4/7) and Draw (11/5) all seem likely. Pick your poison.
Watford vs. Manchester City: Watford Draw No Bet (23/10)
Manchester City’s away record in the Premier League has been dismal this season and it’s tough to trust them to get the job done.
They haven’t won any of their last six fixtures on the road, per WhoScored.com, accruing a measly three losses and three draws. Only two other teams (Chelsea and Aston Villa) have failed to win in any of their last six away games.
Watford, meanwhile, are enjoying an Odion Ighalo-fuelled dream season and look particularly stingy at home. The bubble may burst at any point, but they’re a good horse to back here.
Everton vs. Tottenham Hotspur: Over 2.5 Goals (7/10)
Goodison Park and the Etihad Stadium have seen the joint-highest number of goals this season (41 from 10 games each)—an astonishing figure that dwarfs every other Premier League venue in the country.
Everton’s home matches have been actual, genuine chaos of late; the hosts have been involved in some ridiculous goal-scoring frenzies, and only one of their last six matches has failed to breach the Over 2.5 mark.
With the Toffees’ defence, Romelu Lukaku and Harry Kane all in the form they are, expect goals here.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.