Every week BetBright columnist Sam Tighe provides his rundown ahead of the football action this weekend, picking out his five Premier League best bets.
Despite West Bromwich Albion’s perceived defensive solidity and stinginess this season, their home record genuinely hasn’t been great. Per WhoScored.com, they’ve lost four and drawn one on familiar turf, resulting in 14 dropped points already.
It’d be easy to assume a Tony Pulis side will participate in a game with few goals—especially considering they’re matching up against Mauricio Pochettino’s well-drilled unit—but we’ve already seen three 3-2 scorelines at the Hawthorns this season. Under 2.5 goals seems a risk.
That leaves us picking a winner, and Spurs at 5/6 is good value. They’re a far superior side across the board, and the Baggies have struggled in front of their own fans—they have the fourth-worst home record in the division.
Three weeks ago we’d have been viewing this match as an utter whitewash; with the Black Cats struggling for any sort of form and the Gunners on a roll, it would have been a case of: how many will Arsenal win by?
But things in football change quickly, and now there will be a definitive contingent of people (this writer included) who don’t even feel entirely comfortable tipping an Arsenal win. No Alexis Sanchez, Francis Coquelin, Santi Cazorla, Theo Walcott or Laurent Koscielny is a massive, massive problem.
Last time they met at the Emirates the visitors secured a vital point thanks to a 0-0 draw. Given the injury crisis suffered in north London, and given their poor recent form, it’s conceivable Sunderland play the part of spoiler to perfection again. Expect a tight, tense battle with few goals yielded.
In five of the last six meetings between Newcastle United and Liverpool there has been at least one red card. If you’re feeling bold, pick an aggressor and see if that trend continues.
If not, however, consider the form of the two sides, and the fact that the game takes place in a positively poisonous St. James’ Park atmosphere. Newcastle have accrued a point less than West Brom on home soil, while Liverpool’s last two away trips have yielded an astonishing 10 goals—at Manchester City and Southampton, no less.
The Reds are heavy favourites so value is lacking in an outright win, but they could easily cover the handicap in current form.
Chelsea’s clean sheet and point against Tottenham Hotspur last week was a more impressive result than many give them credit for. To stop a team who haven’t lost since opening day and are in a great groove is quite the achievement—particularly given the Blues’ current state of perceived disarray.
But Jose Mourinho is slowly turning the corner, and he is doing so by making his outfit very difficult to beat again. They’ve recorded two successive shutouts, and despite AFC Bournemouth’s remarkable heroics against Everton, it’s unlikely they’ll be able to pull the same stunt at Stamford Bridge.
A low-scoring home win, possibly to nil, beckons. Just like the Norwich game. And the Aston Villa game.
This is the sort of game Crystal Palace love to play. They may have just beaten Newcastle United 5-1 at home, but they’ve typically looked far more lethal away from Selhurst Park due to the space they’re afforded to play in.
Everton are one such team who will give them room to play, as they will seek to assert a possession-based game and set the tone. That certainly gets the best out of the hosts’ ball-playing assets in Gerard Deulofeu and Ross Barkley, but it also plays into the hands of Yannick Bolasie and Wilfried Zaha.
It’s a 50/50 call due to the projected pattern of play, but you can almost guarantee
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Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.