Yet again it’s the three big names that dominate the men’s tournament at Wimbledon. Roger Federer is set to serenely glide into the second week at SW19, and old rivals Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic are on course for a semi-final meeting.
In the women’s tournament the title is there for the taking after the departure of last year’s champion. Here’s your complete betting guide to the third round of Wimbledon 2018.
World’s top two set to cruise into second week
There won’t be many matches at this year’s Wimbledon that feature more games than the 72 shared by Ivo Karlovic and Jan-Lennard Struff in their second-round encounter. Struff’s reward for a gruelling five-set win is a match against top seed Roger Federer who dispatched Lukas Lacko in straight sets in just 89 minutes.
Federer won an incredible 35 consecutive service points in his victory and is unsurprisingly just 1/33 to progress.
Kyle Edmund reached the third round of Wimbledon for the first time with a comfortable win over Bradley Klahn but things suddenly get very difficult for the British number one as he faces three-time champion Novak Djokovic.
Marco Cecchinato showed at Roland Garros that Djokovic isn’t invincible but the Serb has begun to show flashes of the form that carried him to world number one. He dropped just 12 points on his serve in his second-round win and says that he’s fit to challenge for the title despite taking a medical timeout against Horacio Zeballos.
A win for Edmund at 10/3 would really announce him as a potential top 10 player, but Djokovic should end British interest in the tournament at 2/9.
Gael Monfils is one of tennis’ great entertainers but perhaps surprisingly he’s never progressed past this stage at Wimbledon. His opponent in the third round this year is big-serving Sam Querrey with the 11th seed looking to emulate last year’s run to the semi-finals.
Querrey is the 4/9 favourite but on his day Monfils is a match for almost anyone. The fact that those days don’t come around very often is the reason he’s a 15/8 chance.
Guido Pella had never reached the third round of a Grand Slam before this week, but the 28-year-old did it in style by coming from two sets down to beat third seed Marin Cilic in the biggest upset of the men’s tournament so far.
Pella had never even won a match at Wimbledon before Tuesday and now he faces world number 101 Mackenzie McDonald for a place in the last 16 where he will probably face Milos Raonic.
We tipped Ruben Bemelmans at 3/1 to overcome John Isner in the last round and the Belgian failed to take either of two match points before the big American sealed a five-set win. Isner’s record at Wimbledon isn’t great and so there’s a little bit of value in backing Radu Albot at 4/1.
Rafael Nadal has yet to drop a set and should beat young Australian Alex de Minaur at 1/10 while Nick Kyrgios has a decent looking draw and can reach the second week with a win over 24th seed Kei Nishikori at 4/11.
Philipp Kohlschreiber looks decent value to upset 8th seed Kevin Anderson at 9/4 while 19-year-old Stefanos Tsitsipas can continue his excellent run by beating qualifier Thomas Fabbiano at 2/5.
Reigning champion’s defeat throws draw wide open
We predicted there would be upsets in round 2 of the women’s tournament and our suggestion to back Ekaterina Makarova would have returned you a tasty 5/1 as she overcame second seed Caroline Wozniacki on Centre Court.
Makarova’s reward for her three-set win is a third-round match against Lucie Safarova, the former Wimbledon semi-finalist who also eliminated a seed in the last round. This could be a close match, but Safarova has won four of the five previous meetings between the pair, including one on grass back in 2014. The Czech player is 8/13 to win.
The odds on Serena Williams winning her eighth Wimbledon title fell after an impressive second round win over qualifier Viktoriya Tomova. A potentially awkward fourth round match against 10th seed Madison Keys awaits, assuming Williams can beat Kristina Mladenovic in round 3. The French player was in the world’s top 10 as recently as October last year, although this is as far as she has ever progressed in SW19. Williams should win at 2/9.
Venus Williams has endured a tougher time at this year’s tournament and having come through two three-set matches she’ll have to improve to beat 20th seed Kiki Bertens. The Dutch player has only lost nine games in her two straight-sets wins and while she’s a clay court specialist, she did reach the final on the grass of s’Hertogenbosch in the run-up to Wimbledon.
Williams is the 8/15 favourite but Bertens looks great value at 6/4.
There are two great looking matches in the top of the draw featuring closely matched seeds. Daria Kasatkina looks like a future Grand Slam champion and the 14th seed plays Ashleigh Barty who got the better of former finalist Eugenie Bouchard in round 2. The Russian looks decent value at 6/4. Elsewhere Angelique Kerber faces rising star Naomi Osaka and we fancy the Japanese star to win at 15/8.
Alison van Uytvanck’s reward for her excellent win over reigning champion Garbine Muguruza is a match against rising Estonian star Anett Kontaveit. If the Belgian can continue to serve well and play as impressively as she did against Muguruza she could be a great bet at 11/10.
Simona Halep looks in the mood to make it back-to-back Grand Slam titles and can beat Hsieh Su-wei at 2/11 while we’ve profited on Belinda Bencic so far and will back her to keep up her good run by beating 27th seed Carla Suarez Navarro at 7/10.
12th seed Jelena Ostapenko can beat Russian qualifier Vitalia Diatchenko at 1/4 while Donna Vekic can continue her good run by beating Yanina Wickmayer at 4/11.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.
Also published on Medium.