If this year’s Wimbledon had gone with the seedings, then the top 16 men and women would be left standing as we enter the second week. The fact that just 12 of these 32 players remain shows what an unpredictable tournament it has been so far, particularly in the ladies’ event where the top six seeds are all out already.
Can we expect more of the same this week? Here’s your complete betting guide to the fourth round of Wimbledon 2018.
Repeat of classic men’s final still on the cards
The 2008 final is considered one of the greatest ever Wimbledon matches and a decade later it’s quite possible we could have a repeat of that encounter. Both Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal have been in imperious form so far and the pair are on course for another final showdown, ten years after that classic.
Federer is an unbackable 1/50 to beat Adrian Mannarino in round 4 while Nadal should beat the unseeded Jiri Vesely at 1/12.
We suggested that Gael Monfils may be a good bet at 15/8 in the last round and the talented Frenchman duly came through in four sets against 11th seed Sam Querrey. It’s the first time that Monfils has reached the second week at Wimbledon and now he faces another tall, big server in 8th seed Kevin Anderson.
Monfils has won each of the five previous meetings between the pair and can be backed at 11/10.
It’s only Mackenzie McDonald’s third Grand Slam event but the American has reached the fourth round despite ranking just 294th in the world. He overcame Marin Cilic’s conqueror Guido Pella in the third round and faces former Wimbledon finalist Milos Raonic in round 4.
The big-serving Canadian has been in good form so far and has only dropped one set on his way to the second week. The 13th seed should win this at 1/10.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has been one of the stories of this year’s Wimbledon and the 19-year-old swept into round 4 with a comfortable win over qualifier Thomas Fabbiano, losing just seven games in the process.
The 31st seed now faces John Isner who has reached the second week at Wimbledon for the first time in ten attempts. The American is the odds-on favourite but considering Isner’s previous form on grass, the rising Greek star looks absolutely terrific value at 13/8.
Juan Martin del Potro has breezed into the last 16 without dropping a set and is 1/7 to overcome Gilles Simon while Novak Djokovic ended British interest in the tournament on Saturday and can beat Karen Khachanov at the same price.
You’re never quite sure from one day to the next which Nick Kyrgios will turn up, and so it’s perhaps little surprise that the Australian was comfortably beaten in straight sets in a match he was odds-on to win. Instead it’s Kei Nishikori that faces Ernests Gulbis in round four and the Latvian qualifier is a tempting 11/4.
Great chance for an unseeded player to win a Grand Slam title
Astonishingly, just one of the top ten seeds in the ladies’ tournament has made it into the fourth round at this year’s Wimbledon. Even more surprisingly, that one seed is Karolina Pliskova who had previously never progressed past the second round in SW19.
Pliskova has a tricky match in round 4 against 20th seed Kiki Bertens who we tipped to beat Venus Williams in the last round. The Dutch player has enjoyed a very solid 2018 and looks great value at 15/8.
Serena Williams has made it to the second week without ever looking back to her best but she’s been improving round by round and may never have a better chance to win an eighth Wimbledon title.
Williams’ opponent in round 4 is qualifier Evgeniya Rodina who surprisingly knocked out 10th seed Madison Keys on Friday. Williams is just 1/12 to win but if the Russian could pull off a victory at 15/2 it would be the upset of the tournament so far.
The result of the third round was Hsieh Su-wei’s three-set win over top seed Simona Halep. The 32-year-old had only previously won five matches at Wimbledon in a long career and a fourth-round appearance equals her best ever Grand Slam result.
Her opponent is Dominika Cibulkova who seems to have channelled her annoyance at losing her seeding into her tennis. She followed up her comfortable win over Johanna Konta with an easy win over 15th seed Elise Mertens and should be backed at 4/7 to progress.
Jelena Ostapenko is 2/5 to beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich while Donna Vekic looks great value at 11/10 to beat Julia Gorges. Alison van Uytvanck eliminated another seed in round 3 and now plays the dangerous Russian Daria Kasatkina. While the 14th seed should win, van Uytvanck has an excellent game on grass and she will have plenty of backers at 11/8.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.
Also published on Medium.