The Group 3 Jersey Stakes is one of the best sounding boards for potentially top class sprinters and milers of the future and on Day 2 at the 2018 Royal Meeting, this 7f contest will take place at the opposite end of the card to what we are used to. Nonetheless, the 5.35pm on Wednesday is shaping up to be a very interesting and indeed open renewal of the popular contest.
In 4 of the last 10 years, winners of the Jersey Stakes return at double-figure SPs, so it is a race that can throw up some minor surprises. Le Brivido in 2017 was the first favourite to win since Aidan O’Brien and Mick Kinane struck with 7/4 favourite Mozart all the way back in 2001, so for punters this is certainly a race where it can pay to take on the market leader.
This powerful son of Dubawi was somewhat unlucky not to score off a big weight in a handicap at Goodwood last time out, but it was a clear career-best off a mark of 109 that day and a reproduction of the effort definitely highlights John Gosden’s charge as the horse they have to beat. He was bought for £2.6 Million as a yearling, so a win here would be handy in continuing the remuneration process and on the face of it, the horse has a top chance of doing so under Jim Crowley.
COULD IT BE LOVE
This War Front filly gets a handy 3lb allowance from her male rivals and Aidan O’Brien’s charge ran an absolute cracker to be 2nd at 33/1 in the Irish 1000 Guineas. This was a clear step in the right direction for a horse that has been a slow burning project, but it is certainly interesting that the master at Ballydoyle lets her take a chance here against the boys and the drop from a mile to seven furlongs could easily bring about a bit more progression. She’s very interesting and Ryan Moore takes the ride.
William Haggas is an absolute dynamo with 3yo horses and this colt by Society Rock has been on a winning tear since finishing 2nd on his career debut at Windsor last August. His last five victories are nicely cherried by a handicap win at Goodwood last month which produced a rapid speed figure, a career-best and at a shade of double figures in price, he is a really interesting contender here under Jamie Spencer.
Could only manage 5th in the Irish 2000 Guineas, but this is both a step down in class and in trip for Charlie Appleby’s charge. Back in early May, he clocked a very good Topspeed figure to land a battling handicap success at Newmarket and this drop back to 7f rates an interesting move for the son of Cape Cross. Godolphin are enjoying a stellar season and this chap looks poised to run a very big race in the Jersey Stakes on Day 2.
John Gosden is sure to hit the scoreboard this week and Emaraaty looks an ideal candidate for this stiff test. With a sound blend of form and experience, he gets the nod from the two suggested main contenders. Of the chief market threats, the profile of the William Haggas trained Society Power is really hard to ignore, and he rates fair each way value.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.
Also published on Medium.