Lots of each-way value this week as PGA Tour heads to Orlando
Since the turn of the century, one man has absolutely dominated this week’s PGA Tour event. Tiger Woods is an eight-time champion at Bay Hill but his absence this week means there could be a new name on the trophy.
One of just five ‘invitational’ PGA Tour events, this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational brings together 120 of the Tour’s best players including an Australian looking to continue his superb run of form. Keep reading for our preview of the 2016 Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Opportunity for low scoring at Bay Hill
Until a few years ago, Bay Hill was considered one of the Tour’s toughest par 70s. After some improvements before 2015’s tournament it is now a much more straightforward affair and it averaged 0.879 strokes under par last year – the third easiest par 72 on Tour.
Hitting greens in regulation and sinking putts is the key to success, as Matt Every showed last year in winning his second consecutive title.
Adam Scott looking to make it three in a row
After being pressured by Palmer for years to participate, Rory McIlroy finally made his debut at this tournament last year. Considering that invitational events are rarely won by debutants (since 1980 only Robert Gamez has won at his first attempt, and he eagled the final hole in 1990), McIlroy’s T11 finish was respectable enough.
Back to number two in the world after his T3 performance at the WGC-Cadillac a couple of weeks ago, it’s about time that the Irishman returned to winning ways. He is the 11/2 favourite this week.
There is no-one in better form in world golf right now than Adam Scott. The Australian has won back-to-back PGA Tour events and arrives in Orlando looking to make it a hat-trick of victories. Scott is a combined 35 under par for his last 12 rounds of tournament golf and comes into this event with a record of T2, 1, 1.
Considering also that Scott shares the Bay Hill course record with the 62 he shot in 2014, he could be a superb bet this week at 7/1.
Last year, we tipped Henrik Stenson as one to watch and the Swede duly obliged, rewarding each-way backers with a second place finish at 9/1.
One of a number of locals in the field, this is an event that Stenson loves. His last four finishes at Bay Hill have been T15, T8, T5 and 2 and he finished T11 at Copperhead in last weekend’s Valspar Championship.
Stenson looks great value at 12/1.
Jason Day is a 13/1 chance but his best finish in five attempts is a T17 while Justin Rose is a previous runner-up here and available at 15/1.
Your golf betting outsiders
Last week we suggested that you followed Ryan Moore at the Valspar Championship in light of his excellent start to 2016. The American finished just two shots behind the eventual winner Charl Schwartzl in solo third place and handsomely rewarded each-way backers at ante-post odds of 45/1.
Moore has four top 10s and a T11 finish in seven starts this year and ranks in the Tour’s top ten for both par-3 and par-4 scoring. Fourth at Bay Hill in 2012, the 33 year old is once again a terrific each-way bet at 33/1.
Since the Tour arrived in Florida, Scott Brown has been in terrific form. The world number 150 finished T10 at the Honda Classic and T7 at the Valspar last week, leading the field in stroked gained: putting.
Brown currently sits inside the FedEx Cup top 50 after a solid start to the season and finished 13th at Bay Hill on his debut in the event in 2013. If you’re looking for a speculative each-way bet then Brown is a 109/1 chance.
Before last week, Matt Every had missed three of his previous four cuts, shooting a pretty dismal 14 over par in his two rounds at the Honda Classic. Since winning this event in 2015 he has suffered with illness and poor form, and a T18 finish has been his best result since victory at Bay Hill twelve months ago.
However, on this course it is impossible to rule out the 32 year old. Every is looking to achieve the rare feat of winning a PGA Tour event for the third consecutive year having been victorious by one shot in both 2014 and 2015.
Last year he went into this event in no real form and ended up shooting the lowest winning score since Tiger Woods won in 2003. It’s a long shot, but Every is 75/1 to make it a hat-trick of victories.
Check out all our pre-tournament odds on the 2016 Arnold Palmer Invitational over at our main site at https://www.betbright.com/golf/outrights/men/arnold-palmer-invitational-2016-winner
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.