Benfica are visited by Bayern Munich tonight in the Champions League Quarter Final
An early Arturo Vidal goal is the only thing that separates Benfica and Bayern Munich from the first leg and it’s expected to be just as tight when the pair meet in Lisbon again this evening for this Champions League, quarter-final, second leg.
Bayern are not surprisingly the favourites to win tonight with BetBright and they’ve already attracted a fair amount of support but 4/7 isn’t a price that I would touch.
Man City bound Pep Guardiola would love to leave Bavaria with another European success and his side have a great chance of being crowned kings of Europe for a sixth times, but first they have to negotiate this tricky assignment.
The Portuguese league leaders aren’t to be taken lightly in this one though as they’ve won three of their four Champions League home matches and at the Estadio da Luz they’ve now won 20 of their last 22 games and many will look at the massive 11/2 on another home win as a spot of value.
The calibre of opposition they face week on week domestically is nowhere near the quality of Bayern Munich and that step up in level is preventing me from backing the home side and the monster price, but I don’t think they will lose this though and on the match markets the draw looks a very sensible wager at the 16/5 with BetBright.
A draw is good enough for Bayern Munich to qualify through to the semi-finals and it’s so important for Benfica to keep a clean sheet early doors as if they do concede it will mean that they then have to score three goals to qualify and against Munich that’s an impossible ask.
I think that this, just like the first leg will be a tight one and at 5/6 I’m certainly having a bet on under 2.5 goals as I can’t really see both sides going all out for the win especially early on the tie.
Since Guardiola announced he was leaving Munich their performances haven’t been of the quality of what we were witnessing at the start of the campaign.
They have now won their last four matches, but three of those victories have just been by a single goal and with also a recent 0-0 draw against arch-rivals Borussia Dortmund as well it’s a good option to go against goals this evening and “no” in the both teams to score is a good bet for the BTTS acca backers at 8/11 and at a much nicer price it wouldn’t surprise me at all to see this end up in a 0-0 draw and 8/1 on no goalscorer in Lisbon looks fair.
Draw @ 10/3
Under 2.5 Goals @ 5/6
BTTS No @ 8/11
No goalscorer @ 8/1
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.